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Battle Of The Labor Surveys (Why jobless rate will decline by a percentage point or more in 2010)

November 10th, 2009 by Forbes Filed under Featured, Feeds, Free Republic, Politics.[1 views]
Despite the fact that headline "payroll" job losses are significantly smaller than earlier this year, the unemployment rate spiked to 10.2% in October. This is the highest since the aftermath of the brutal 1981-1982 recession, when the jobless rate peaked at 10.8%. Many are arguing that the unemployment rate is the better indicator and that the economy is still in a great deal of trouble. So it's time once again to look at how jobs data are calculated. The Labor Department uses two completely different surveys: the payroll (or "establishment") survey and the household survey. ..... ..... Instead, we notice...

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